Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.838205 2.111856 2.415835 2.779154 3.202403 3.680866 4.264107
2025-04-20 1.462634 1.838139 2.297537 2.903812 3.687198 4.671073 6.009456
2025-04-27 1.216124 1.621915 2.151353 2.898437 3.934679 5.334625 7.391860
2025-05-04 1.079965 1.511788 2.105661 2.991368 4.294785 6.167396 9.106532
2025-05-11 0.954746 1.392077 2.020890 3.003991 4.526148 6.832644 10.667390
2025-05-18 0.855306 1.292655 1.946722 3.013155 4.741303 7.488985 12.303396
2025-05-25 0.752644 1.173614 1.825197 2.927536 4.787349 7.873822 13.542771
2025-06-01 0.693852 1.114766 1.788098 2.968538 5.039562 8.623371 15.518050
2025-06-08 0.649206 1.072731 1.771601 3.038849 5.346549 9.503181 17.865646
2025-06-15 0.599564 1.016278 1.723616 3.046430 5.539275 10.198927 19.972106
2025-06-22 0.544406 0.944176 1.640263 2.978947 5.581590 10.614234 21.582323
2025-06-29 0.500352 0.886986 1.576827 2.939665 5.670295 11.127104 23.473458
2025-07-06 0.447076 0.812501 1.482866 2.848599 5.681409 11.561754 25.458402
2025-07-13 0.424940 0.794410 1.493989 2.970354 6.157171 13.070191 30.258866
2025-07-20 0.390959 0.749208 1.446669 2.965097 6.360825 14.022638 33.964886
2025-07-27 0.371417 0.729808 1.447503 3.060338 6.800403 15.588281 39.573755
2025-08-03 0.345969 0.695353 1.413101 3.073278 7.052908 16.758769 44.440570
2025-08-10 0.322942 0.663203 1.379457 3.082671 7.298010 17.956693 49.688077
2025-08-17 0.294429 0.616218 1.308312 2.994913 7.289474 18.504668 53.206264
2025-08-24 0.278798 0.595499 1.292586 3.036938 7.617617 20.008352 60.004881
2025-08-31 0.266631 0.581100 1.289347 3.109007 8.037201 21.848230 68.382005
2025-09-07 0.251175 0.557547 1.262161 3.116778 8.284282 23.247656 75.715707
2025-09-14 0.232344 0.524224 1.208144 3.047608 8.305122 23.984797 80.989271